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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Australian News Desk Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Melbourne is set for a day of classic four-seasons-in-one, with the live forecast above showing a mix of sun and cloud, and a chance of a late shower — typical for a city that keeps you guessing.
What’s driving Melbourne’s weather pattern today?
A trough moving across Victoria is drawing in moisture from the Bass Strait, creating patchy cloud and the risk of a brief afternoon or evening shower. Northerly winds ahead of the trough are keeping temperatures mild, but a cooler change is expected to sweep through later, dropping the mercury by a few degrees. The UV index will be moderate, so if you’re heading out, sunscreen is still a good idea.
Should you change your plans?
Not really — the rain, if it arrives, will be light and short-lived. Mornings will be the sunniest part of the day, making it a good window for outdoor errands or a walk. By late afternoon, keep an eye on the sky and maybe carry a light jacket or umbrella. The breeze will pick up with the change, so coastal areas may feel a bit fresher than the city centre.
Will it rain in Melbourne this afternoon?
There’s a moderate chance of a light shower later in the day as the trough moves through. Most suburbs will see only a few drops, if anything, but a brief drizzle is possible from around 3 pm.
Is Melbourne’s weather going to cool down tonight?
Yes — the south-westerly change will bring cooler air overnight, with lows around 12–14°C. It will feel noticeably fresher than the daytime warmth, so you’ll want an extra layer if you’re out late.
How does today compare to yesterday’s weather?
Yesterday was slightly warmer and less cloudy. Today’s trough brings more cloud cover and a higher chance of a shower, but the top temperature will be similar — just a degree or two lower in most areas.
For more details, check our Melbourne weather page or explore the Australia weather hub for forecasts across the country.